Good morning y'all, the National Weather Service has issued a enhanced risk for strong to severe thunderstorms across the majority of the DFW metroplex and places to the east. A slight risk has been issued for areas just to the west of the DFW metroplex with lesser threats but still a risk. A dryline will setup over the metro area and will ignite these thunderstorms as we move through the afternoon hours and push off towards the east. Timing is typically between 10 am and 5 pm for the majority of the metroplex. Off to the west, threats include damaging winds and large hail. Areas to the east of the metroplex have the best chance of seeing storms between 2 to 10 pm this afternoon, with the threats being damaging winds in excess of 50 miles per hour, large hail and the chance for isolated tornadoes.
Below Is a threat graphic detailing the Individual threats and their intensity that we expect for the metroplex.
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Good morning everyone, we are yet again monitoring the for the potential of strong to severe thunderstorms on Saturday and Sunday here in the DFW metroplex. Strong to severe storms will be possible mainly from a line of Greenville to Dallas to Hillsboro and places to the southeast on Saturday and into Saturday night. Frequent lightning and the chance for hail will be of main concern on Saturday. The threat then extends into Sunday with the zone covering more of the Dallas Ft. Worth metro...see below.
On Saturday, the threat will mainly be towards the east of the metroplex as mentioned above however that will shift to the west as the dry line moves towards the north and a low pressure center parks it self right just south of Dallas and Tarrant county line. A cool front will also swing in from the north behind this system opening the doors for high temperatures to drop back into the lower 60s for most, however a warm up will ensue the following week with highs returning to the lower 80s. The main concerns with thunderstorms that form on Sunday will be large hail and damaging winds being the biggest threats. Instability is too low across the area at this time to support tornadic activity, however we will always keep an eye on that and post updates if it changes. Stay tuned for an updates regarding this setup as they will be posted throughout the rest of the week should the forecast change. Stay safe!
Well, good morning everyone...Mother Nature is not waiting around for the virus to subside and the chance for severe thunderstorms is present for this afternoon and evening. A slight risk (2/5) on the threat scale has been posted for the immediate Dallas Ft. Worth metroplex with an enhanced risk (3/5) on the threat scale issued for areas from Mineral Wells to Granbury to Hillsboro and points to the southwest have the greatest chance at seeing strong to severe thunderstorms.
This early afternoon, our first round of thunderstorms will develop off to the west and push through towards the east during the early afternoon hours. Once we get towards rush hour, we will begin to see our second batch of showers and thunderstorms develop off to the west again and push through towards the east. It is definitely not unusual during severe weather season to see this kind of activity. I'll keep watch, stay tuned and informed! Individual threats include but are not limited too... Slight Risk (2/5) ... Damaging winds including gusts up to 50 to 60 miles per hour, with large hail and the potential for tornadoes exists throughout the slight risk area. Enhanced Risk (3/5) ... All modes of severe weather are possible. Not only is COVID-19 spreading throughout the Dallas Ft. Worth metroplex, but we need to be weather aware as severe weather season is upon us and is not backing down as we head into the first part of Spring. Knowing this, we will have our first severe weather event possible on Monday and into Monday afternoon and throughout the overnight hours. Main threats with this potential for gusty winds in excess of 40 miles per hour, along with hail the size of peas in diameter in storms that do reach severe limits. I at this time, am ruiling out the chances for tornaodes at this point because instability is low. So, to begin timing off, in the western half of the metroplex to move through during the western half of the metroplex during the mid-morning hours.
Below, is a graphic that shows the timing of storms during the afternoon and evening hours will gradually push off towards the east. Same thing with the threats above, we are expecting brief pockets of heavy rain, small pea-size hail and gusty winds with severe thunderstorms that do form. For now, I am NOT expecting this to be a severe weather outbreak. For rainfall totals, I am expecting anywhere between a half an inch to an inch and a half. Updates will be posted on social media when warranted throughout the day. |
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